Winner of the Presidency in Argentina According to Polls
According to the polls, Javier Milei would be the winner of the presidency in Argentina, although, in the first round, the polls were mistaken.
Different polling firms give an advantage to the candidate of La Libertad Avanza, Javier Milei, over the official candidate of the Union for the Homeland coalition, Sergio Massa.
But in the political dynamics of Latin American nations, the winner of the presidency in Argentina depends to a large extent on the mobilization of political organizations, and in that aspect, Massa has the advantage.
Massa is the current Minister of Economy of the country, facing the runoff of the Argentine presidential elections, which will take place this Sunday, November 19.
However, the overall scenario is one of parity for the elections.
Winner of the Presidency in Argentina
The consulting firm Atlas Intel conducted a study between November 5 and 11, according to which Milei would obtain 48.6% of the votes compared to 44.6% for Massa, thus becoming the liberal winner of the presidency in Argentina.
The libertarian candidate would prevail by 4 percentage points over the ministerial candidate. In this study, blank votes accounted for 2.8%, undecided voters 2.3%, and null votes 1.6%, as reported by perfil.com.
Another study by the University of San Andrés, carried out between November 3 and 8, titled Political Satisfaction and Public Opinion Survey (ESPOP), also declares Milei the winner, obtaining victory with 37% of the votes against Massa’s 31%.
However, in this study, 23% of respondents said they have not yet decided who they will vote for.
That is, the winner of the presidency in Argentina still has a broad margin depending on the final decision of the undecided voters.
The Latin American Geopolitical Strategic Center (Celag), for its part, conducted a voting intention survey between October 25 and November 8, giving 46.7% for Massa and 45.3% for Milei.
Meanwhile, 8% of respondents said they did not define their vote, meaning they do not know if they will vote blank, null, etc.
On the other hand, the consulting firm CB declares Milei the winner with 50.1%, almost five percentage points above Massa, who would obtain 45.3%, in a survey conducted between November 2 and 4.
The Circuit consulting firm, meanwhile, declares Massa the winner with 44.2%, above Milei, who would obtain 42.1%. 13.7% of respondents said they were undecided or would not vote for either of the two candidates.
A study by Jorge Giacobbe’s consulting firm, carried out between October 28 and November 5, declares Milei the winner with 53.1% of the votes, while Massa gets 46.9%.
Lastly, the consulting firm Analogías, in a study conducted just after the first round, between October 23 and 25, favored Massa in the runoff, who would have a 42.4% intention to vote compared to Milei’s 34.3%.
Also read: Gasoline Shortage in Argentina: No Dollars.
