U.S. intelligence report on Nicolás Maduro

A U.S. intelligence report on Nicolás Maduro estimates that he is unlikely to lose the elections.

The threat assessment for 2024, reveals a U.S. intelligence report on Nicolás Maduro and does not shed any light on the electoral process in Venezuela.

The report is prepared annually by the U.S. Office of National Intelligence Directorate.

In this report it compiles the main threats to the country’s national security, and focuses on the most direct and serious threats to the United States and its geopolitical interests during 2024.

In a special section on Venezuela, the U.S. intelligence report on Nicolás Maduro, they believe he will maintain a solid grip on power and is unlikely to lose the presidential election.

“Due to his control of state institutions that influence the electoral process and his willingness to exercise his power”, the report specifies.

It also notes that the Venezuelan opposition, which has often been divided, “holds few influential public positions”.

Added to this is the support of China, Iran and Russia that “helps the Maduro regime to evade sanctions”.

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U.S. Intelligence Report on Nicolás Maduro: Aspects of a “war on terror

In other words, the U.S. intelligence report on Nicolás Maduro reveals that the election is a fight against, as it has happened in other occasions.

The Intelligence Directorate indicates that the Maduro government has banned the main opposition candidates from holding public office.

“It has restricted media coverage of the opposition and has placed close allies in the National Electoral Council to ensure Maduro’s victory and at the same time try to avoid blatant electoral fraud.”

Finally, he recalls that more than seven million Venezuelans have left the country since 2017, and that this 2024 “Venezuelan migration to the region and to the United States is likely to remain high,” as “lack of economic opportunities is likely to persist.”

Undoubtedly, the U.S. intelligence report on Nicolás Maduro is not pleasant news for the millions of migrants.

Following the Barbados accords in which Chavismo and the Venezuelan opposition agreed to hold free presidential elections, the United States temporarily lifted sanctions on Venezuelan gold, oil and gas.

However, the White House has warned that it will not renew the lifting, which expires in April, if the disqualification of María Corina Machado is maintained.

So far, there are few options for the opposition to win, even less without an absolute agreement on the issue of María Corina Machado.

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Maduro’s government has cut off the political guarantees of the main adversaries; while it has managed to shelter and generate distrust towards certain opposition sectors.

Nicolás Maduro’s strategy has always been to create a contrary environment, in order to impact electoral participation.

With hundreds of strategies applied on the day of the process, which, in addition to discouragement, allow voters to feel defeated before the end of the day.

On the other hand, on the case of Haiti, which is on the verge of collapse due to the violence unleashed by powerful gangs, “it will continue to be unpredictable”.

They also anticipate that the gangs “will likely violently resist a deployment of foreign forces in Haiti because they perceive it as a threat to their control and operations”.

A long-planned multinational mission led by Kenya is expected to deploy to Haiti soon.